Breaking: EVP Projects Saxby Chambliss Winner in Georgia

EVP has enough data to project Saxby Chambliss will retain his Senior senate seat in the state of Georgia.

Chambliss is outperforming his November 4th totals in nearly all counties currently reporting, and Martin is underperforming in the same respect.

Low turnout historically helps the Republican party, and for that, today's low turnout is enough to keep Chambliss in the senate.

Senate count:
58 Dem, 41 Rep, 1 Undec.

Electoral Map - Final

Barack Obama (D) - 365
John McCain (R) - 173



Check for a final senate map and house count later in December. Thanks again to all of my readers!

Update - November 23, 2008

EVP Can now project a final map.

John McCain has carried the state of Missouri, resulting in a final electoral vote total of
Barack Obama (D): 365
John McCain (R): 173

In the Senate, we are still calling Minnesota anyone's game, at 50/50 odds.
Georgia, however, is 85/15 in favor of Chambliss, as African American turnout is likely to be lower in the run-off.

BREAKING: EVP Predicts Begich Winner of Senate Seat in AK

11/12/08 (9:05 PM):
Given the results of the counting of absentee/provisional ballots in Alaska, Begich has taken a ~400 vote lead. In the counting of these provisional ballots, Begich took roughly 50% of the votes, to Stevens' 42%. The remaining precincts are from heavily Democratic areas, and therefore EVP projects that Mark Begich will pick up the 58th Senate Seats for the Democrats, becoming the junior senator from Alaska.

Results Update - November 11, 2008

News:

Barack Obama has carried a single electoral vote from the second congressional district (Omaha area) in Nebraska, narrowly. This is the first time any state has split electoral votes. The Nebraska GOP wants to change the state law to assign all electoral votes next election.

The final results from Florida show the results were slightly closer than originally anticipated.

South Dakota ended up being .1% closer than North Dakota, which comes very unexpected.

As for the Senate, only one change, Jeff Merkley, as projected, narrowly carried the Oregon senate seat. The last counties to come in were all heavily democratic. Now we wait on Minnesota, Alaska, and the Georgia Runoff.

I give odds on Minnesota of 60 to 40 Franken
...On Alaska 65 to 35 Begich
...On Georgia 80 to 20 Chambliss.

November 5, 2008 - Preliminary Election Results

44th President Elect of the United States: Barack Hussein Obama Jr (D)

How did we do?

Presidential:

We almost nailed it, Indiana came as a shocker. Virginia was closer than anticipated, Ohio was larger than expected, as was Florida. Arizona ended up not being close, NE-2 was a shocker, ND wasn't as close as expected, and Nevada was a blowout. Georiga is still up in the air. McCain is going to take it, but it may end up being closer than originally anticipated.

Senate:

The races are closer than anticipated, except Hagan's blowout over Dole. Merkley is an unexpected horse race, as is Begich. The Coleman v Franken race was expected.

Governor:

Nailed it.

More later as we get definitive results...

Final Predictions

Barack Obama (D) - 353 ------------------------------- John McCain (R) - 185