Just one update today.
New Mexico has gone from leaning Obama to solid Obama. This is interesting, for a swing state that Gore barely won in 2000, and Bush won in 2004. That said, the latino population is proving their dissatisfaction with the Republican administration this time around. Immigration issues also play a big role here. I can't see this state going red, especially with Obama polling as high as 13 points above John McCain.
A number of new polls, however, are showing a shift back in senator Obama's favor.
New polling data from Nevada seems to indicate the state leveling back to a tie, and most new polls show a slight lead for Obama. A New Opinion Research poll indicates he's up by 5% there.
Florida is a dead tie now, within the margin of error, some even leading for Obama. The same goes for Ohio, but with Obama up a little more there. I don't think the pick of Portland as McCain's VP will change there, as he's only regarded by Republicans in a predominantly conservative part of the state. He's relatively unknown elsewhere in the state.
Colorado is showing a dead heat, with a slight favor to Obama. This is good news for the Obama camp, since as long as he holds the Kerry states + Iowa and New Mexico (which he's certain to do), this would deliver the election without Ohio, Florida, or Virginia.
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